Modelling of inter-stop minibus taxi movements : using machine learning and network theory

dc.contributor.authorNdibatya, Innocenten_ZA
dc.contributor.authorBooysen, Marthinus J.en_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2015-01-13T13:49:24Z
dc.date.available2015-01-13T13:49:24Z
dc.date.issued2014-12
dc.descriptionPlease cite as follows:en_ZA
dc.descriptionNdibatya, I. & Booysen, M. J. 2014. Modelling of inter-stop minibus taxi movements: Using machine learning and network theory, in Proceedings of the First International Conference on the use of Mobile Informations and Communication Technology (ICT) in Africa UMICTA 2014, 9-10 December 2014, STIAS Conference Centre, Stellenbosch: Stellenbosch University, Department of Electrical & Electronic Engineering, South Africa, ISBN: 978-0-7972-1533-7.en_ZA
dc.descriptionThe conference is available at http://mtn.sun.ac.za/conference2014/en_ZA
dc.descriptionSee also the record http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/95703en_ZA
dc.description.abstractENGLISH ABSTRACT: Minibus taxis provide affordable alternative transport for the majority of urban working population in Sub- Saharan Africa. Often, these taxis do not follow predefined routes in their endeavours to look for passengers. Frequently, they stop by roadsides to pick up passengers and sometimes go off the main route in an attempt to fill the taxi with passengers to make the trip profitable. In addition, the destinations are changed from time to time depending on the driver. This uncoordinated movement creates a web of confusion to would-be passengers. The key aspects that are not clear to the passengers include; where to get a taxi, the waiting time and the travel time to the destination. These conditions leave taxi passengers at a very big disadvantage. In this research, we applied the concepts of machine learning and network theory to model the movements of taxis between stops. The model can be used to compute the waiting times at the stops and the travel times to a specified destination. Twelve minibus taxis were tracked for 6 months. Density-based clustering was used to discover the formal and informal taxi stops, which were modelled into a flow network with the significant stops as nodes and the frequency of departures between nodes as edges representing the strength of connectivity. A data driven model was developed. From the model, we can predict the time a passenger will have to wait at a stop in order to get a taxi and the trip duration.en_ZA
dc.description.abstractAFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Geen opsomming beskikbaaraf_ZA
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/96147
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.subjectMinibus taxisen_ZA
dc.subjectPublic transporten_ZA
dc.subjectTaxi passengersen_ZA
dc.subjectStops, Busen_ZA
dc.subjectBus transit -- Stopsen_ZA
dc.subjectMachine learningen_ZA
dc.titleModelling of inter-stop minibus taxi movements : using machine learning and network theoryen_ZA
dc.typeConference Paperen_ZA
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