An overview of salient factors, relationships and values to support integrated energy-economic system dynamics modelling

dc.contributor.authorDe Wit, Martinen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorHeun, Matthewen_ZA
dc.contributor.authorCrookes, Douglasen_ZA
dc.date.accessioned2019-10-08T06:56:04Z
dc.date.available2019-10-08T06:56:04Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.descriptionCITATION: De Wit, M., Heun, M. & Crookes, D. 2018. An overview of salient factors, relationships and values to support integrated energy-economic system dynamics modelling. Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, 29(4):27-36, doi:10.17159/2413-3051/2018/v29i4a3417.
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at https://journals.assaf.org.za/index.php/jesa
dc.description.abstractIntegrated energy-economic modelling is needed to support the development of energy and climate policies. This study asserts that it is important to consider a system dynamics modelling approach that includes dynamics, endogenous treatment of uncertainty and risks, and both aggregate economic and disaggregate technical or engineering levels of analysis. The study examined the economic growth and the factors of production, elasticities, macro- and technical substitutability; energy cost shares, heat engine efficiencies and energy services efficiencies. Emphasis was laid on the support of the future development of integrated energy-economic models covering (a) the key factors or components; (b) the relationships among these components; (c) a quantification of parameters; and (d) the implications for the development of an integrated energy-economic system dynamics model. The study suggested the following: a non-linear relationship in production and consumption; large variations among price and income elasticity values across time frames, across countries and regions, and across energy goods; a far from perfect substitution among factors of production and among energy goods on a macro-level; technical/engineering limits to substitution on a micro-level; and engineering and behavioural limits on what can be achieved with increased efficiencies. The study argues that integrated energy-economic modelling intensifies the accounting for the factors, relationships, quantifications, and implications, and that this practice allows for such models to describe a complex, emergent energy-economic reality that informs better energy policy.en_ZA
dc.description.urihttps://journals.assaf.org.za/index.php/jesa/article/view/3417
dc.description.versionPublisher's version
dc.format.extent10 pages
dc.identifier.citationDe Wit, M., Heun, M. & Crookes, D. 2018. An overview of salient factors, relationships and values to support integrated energy-economic system dynamics modelling. Journal of Energy in Southern Africa, 29(4):27-36, doi:10.17159/2413-3051/2018/v29i4a3417
dc.identifier.issn2413-3051 (online)
dc.identifier.issn1021-447X (print)
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.17159/2413-3051/2018/v29i4a3417
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/106594
dc.language.isoen_ZAen_ZA
dc.publisherEnergy Research Centre, University of Cape Town
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectEnergy-economic modelingen_ZA
dc.subjectEnergy policy -- Environmental aspectsen_ZA
dc.subjectEnergy policy -- Economic aspectsen_ZA
dc.titleAn overview of salient factors, relationships and values to support integrated energy-economic system dynamics modellingen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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