Nutrition, diabetes and tuberculosis in the epidemiological transition

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dc.contributor.authorDye, Christopher
dc.contributor.authorTrunz, Bernadette Bourdin
dc.contributor.authorLonnroth, Knut
dc.contributor.authorRoglic, Gojka
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, Brian G.
dc.date.accessioned2011-07-18T18:08:14Z
dc.date.available2011-07-18T18:08:14Z
dc.date.issued2011-06
dc.descriptionThe original publication is available at http:/www.plosone.orgen_ZA
dc.description.abstractBackground: Diabetes prevalence and body mass index reflect the nutritional profile of populations but have opposing effects on tuberculosis risk. Interactions between diabetes and BMI could help or hinder TB control in growing, aging, urbanizing populations. Methods and Findings: We compiled data describing temporal changes in BMI, diabetes prevalence and population age structure in rural and urban areas for men and women in countries with high (India) and low (Rep. Korea) TB burdens. Using published data on the risks of TB associated with these factors, we calculated expected changes in TB incidence between 1998 and 2008. In India, TB incidence cases would have increased (28% from 1.7 m to 2.1 m) faster than population size (22%) because of adverse effects of aging, urbanization, changing BMI and rising diabetes prevalence, generating an increase in TB incidence per capita of 5.5% in 10 years. In India, general nutritional improvements were offset by a fall in BMI among the majority of men who live in rural areas. The growing prevalence of diabetes in India increased the annual number of TB cases in people with diabetes by 46% between 1998 and 2008. In Korea, by contrast, the number of TB cases increased more slowly (6.1% from 40,200 to 42,800) than population size (14%) because of positive effects of urbanization, increasing BMI and falling diabetes prevalence. Consequently, TB incidence per capita fell by 7.8% in 10 years. Rapid population aging was the most significant adverse effect in Korea. Conclusions: Nutritional and demographic changes had stronger adverse effects on TB in high-incidence India than in lower-incidence Korea. The unfavourable effects in both countries can be overcome by early drug treatment but, if left unchecked, could lead to an accelerating rise in TB incidence. The prevention and management of risk factors for TB would reinforce TB control by chemotherapy. © 2011 Dye et al.en_ZA
dc.format.extent7 p. : ill.
dc.identifier.citationDye, C. et al. 2011. Nutrition, diabetes and tuberculosis in the epidemiological transition. PLoS ONE, 6(6): e21161, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0021161.
dc.identifier.issn1932-6203 (online)
dc.identifier.otherdoi:10.1371/journal.pone.0021161
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/15605
dc.publisherPublic Library of Science (PLOS)
dc.rights.holderAuthors retain copyright
dc.subjectDiabetes -- Indiaen_ZA
dc.subjectDiabetes -- Korea (South)en_ZA
dc.subjectTuberbulosis -- Indiaen_ZA
dc.subjectTuberbulosis -- Korea (South)en_ZA
dc.titleNutrition, diabetes and tuberculosis in the epidemiological transitionen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA
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